E
Edge
BEARISH
FILL64%
VIX21.5 · ELEVATED
Full context →
——
—:—:— ET

Know the odds before
the market opens.

Historical probability research and live market context for NQ, ES, and GC futures traders.

1,509+ historical sessions
Regime-aware probability engine
55% validated bias accuracy
NQ Probability SnapshotLive
Gap Fill
64%
OR Break Higher
60%
OR Break Lower
40%
Bias Confidence
40%
Upcoming EventsSample
09:30JOLTS Job OpeningsHIGH
10:00ISM Services PMIHIGH
10:00Factory Orders m/mMEDIUM
HOW EDGE WORKS
STEP 01

Analyze market regime

  • Volatility level (VIX)
  • Macro events (CPI, FOMC)
  • Overnight gap size + direction
  • Session type classification
STEP 02

Compare historical analogs

  • Similar day engine
  • Replay archive
  • Regime-aware probability models
  • Day-of-week context
STEP 03

Execute with context

  • Gap fill probability
  • OR behavior + extension
  • Expected session range
  • Directional bias score
TODAY'S SESSION BIAS MAPSESSION 2026-06-12

Four factors scored at 09:45 ET. When all four agree → HIGH conviction (~68% directional / +1.29R on NQ — preliminary, small out-of-sample sample). Otherwise the honest read is STAND DOWN. A bias, not a win rate.

NQLONGLOW (3/4)
O/N
GAP
PREV
ORB15
PDH entry 29,544.25 · stop 29,302.56 · 3R 30,269.31TRIGGERED
ESLONGLOW (3/4)
O/N
GAP
PREV
ORB15
PDH entry 7,420.00 · stop 7,380.75 · 3R 7,537.75LOSS

The Pro Session Bias Map indicator draws this on your chart. Computed from real Globex data. Not financial advice.

TODAY'S OVERNIGHT-BREAK SETUPSESSION 2026-06-12

The aligned break to watch after 09:30 ET: trade only the side that agrees with the overnight session's direction. Entry at the overnight extreme · stop = ¼ of the range · target 3R.

NQLONG· O/N UPLOSS
ENTRY29,675.00O/N high
STOP29,571.25¼ range
TARGET29,986.253R
O/N range 29,260.0029,675.00
ESLONG· O/N UPLOSS
ENTRY7,451.25O/N high
STOP7,432.13¼ range
TARGET7,508.633R
O/N range 7,374.757,451.25

Computed each morning from real Globex data. Backtest edge: ~+0.64R/trade (NQ), 48% win. Not financial advice.

VALIDATED EDGE · OVERNIGHT RANGE BREAK
OUT-OF-SAMPLE VALIDATED

After the NY open, trade the first break of the overnight (Globex 18:00→09:30 ET) high/low — but ONLY when the break agrees with the overnight session's own direction. Stop = ¼ of the overnight range; target 3R.

NQtarget 3R · n=519
EXPECTANCY+0.64R
OUT-OF-SAMPLE+0.73R
WIN RATE48%
PROFIT FACTOR2.16
EStarget 3R · n=533
EXPECTANCY+0.38R
OUT-OF-SAMPLE+0.53R
WIN RATE42%
PROFIT FACTOR1.61

~42–48% win rate — a momentum-runner, not a hit-rate play; the edge is the 3R winners. The overnight-direction filter (continuation-of-continuation) lifts it from the ~40% unfiltered baseline. Fading the break loses. Not financial advice. 3-year Databento 1-min backtest · out-of-sample validated · net of slippage (2023–2026).

TODAY'S MARKET SNAPSHOT
LIVE FROM DB

NQ futures context before open — Friday, June 5, 2026

DAILY BIASBEARISH40% confidence
GAP FILL PROB64%DOWN gap
VIX REGIME21.5ELEVATED
EXP. RANGE LOW30,134.96support level
EXP. RANGE HIGH30,693.04resistance level
EDGE SCORE45last confirmed
HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS TODAY
09:30 ETJOLTS Job OpeningsFull calendar →
10:00 ETISM Services PMIFull calendar →
WHY THIS EXISTS

EDGE is an independent institutional research terminal for futures traders.

Built specifically for NQ, ES, and GC — not options, not crypto, not prediction gurus. EDGE focuses on historical probabilities, session replay, and validation-driven accuracy. Every morning read is a function of data — not sentiment, not social media, not narrative.

Designed for daily decision support before the open. Gap fill odds, opening range behavior, volatility regime, macro event impact — structured and repeatable, session after session.

Probability, not prediction

EDGE shows historical base rates. What happened in similar conditions — not what will happen.

Replay + validation

Every session is replayable. Every EDGE prediction is tracked against actual outcomes.

Before the open

The daily read is designed to be consumed in 5 minutes — before 9:30 ET.

EXPLORE FURTHER
RESEARCH
Daily EDGE BriefingPre-market probability read, every morning
Macro Event StudiesCPI, FOMC, NFP historical behavior
Historical Market AnalysisGap fill, ORB, regime breakdowns
SOCIAL
Shareable Market SummariesReady-to-post X/Twitter content from EDGE stats
Tradeify Challenge UpdatesProp firm performance + validation tracking
Daily Bias SnapshotsGap fill, VIX, bias — formatted for social
THE DAILY EDGE

Know what matters before 9:30.

Pre-market context, probabilities, and macro setups delivered before the open. Gap fill odds, VIX regime, expected range — all in your inbox.

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