Thursday, November 12, 2026
Trade with data,not your emotions.
High-probability market context and historical statistics for smarter futures trading.
NQ M6
19,256.00
+0.91%
Change
+174.00VIX
18.40NQ GAP FILLS TODAY (RTH)base rate, not a trade win rate
73%
OPENING RANGE BIASmodel confidence · beta
BULLISH
68%
EXPECTED RANGEpoints · ±0.5 ATR14 around the open
340
PRIOR DAY HIGHcontinuation level, not a fade
21,120
NY OPEN WINDOW15:30 – 17:00 SAST
09:30 – 11:00 ET
NQ — Intraday Structure
SESSION:
Pre-MarketRegular SessionAfter Hours
What we tested on NQ — and what failed64 of 91 failed
LEADCrabel “stretch” open break+0.11Rn=719BETACross-asset AND-gate+0.35Rn=123BETAICT Silver Bullet — the as-taught version (15m levels + 15m bias)+0.20Rn=196BETAAND-gate, exited at the 17:00 Globex close+0.39Rn=123BETACrabel stretch + cross-index DIVERGENCE+0.30Rn=143BETAOpening-drive continuation (enter the first 15-minute bar's direction at 09:45)+0.12Rn=712BETA15-min ORB + 'one and done / two and through' + 9/15/21/50 EMA stack+0.11Rn=795BETAMarket Profile 80% rule+0.24Rn=170
Expectancy per trade, out-of-sample, after slippage. R = risk on the trade.full library →
NEWS & EVENTS
View Calendar →
TimeEventImpact
09:30JOLTS Job Openings
10:00ISM Services PMI
10:00Factory Orders m/m
14:30FOMC Member Speaks
16:00Fed Waller Speaks
SIMILAR HISTORICAL DAYS · NQSAMPLE · TOP 7
7 of 7 similar days closed higher (avg +45pts)
BULL100%
BEAR0%
AVG CHG+45
| DATE | SIMILARITY | GAP DIR | DAY TYPE | OUTCOME | NEXT DAY CHG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | 94% | ↑ UP | Trend | Gap Filled | +43.00 |
| 2026-03-14 | 89% | ↑ UP | Trend | Trended Up | +51.00 |
| 2026-02-28 | 87% | ↑ UP | Rotation | Gap Filled | +39.00 |
| 2026-01-17 | 82% | ↑ UP | Range | Rotated | +44.00 |
| 2025-12-09 | 78% | ↑ UP | Trend | Trended Up | +52.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | 76% | ↑ UP | Rotation | Gap Filled | +38.00 |
| 2025-10-15 | 71% | ↑ UP | Trend | Trended Down | +46.00 |
Explore Edge
Dig into 150+ statistics and uncover high-probability market behavior.
DAILY EDGE BRIEFING·NQFREE NEWSLETTER
BEEHIIVTODAY'S EDGE INCLUDES
NEUTRAL
- ▸Gap fill probability and regime context
- ▸EDGE score classification and factor breakdown
- ▸Opening range expectation for the session
- ▸Historical analog confidence read
- ▸Key macro events and volatility regime
- ▸Session playbook and trade windows
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before the open.
Daily NQ futures context. Tested numbers, sample sizes shown. Free.
EDGE VALIDATION·NQLAST 29 SESSIONS
▲ 1-STREAKOVERALL
55%
BIAS
55%
GAP FILL
86%
RANGE
50%
ACTIVETODAY'S PREDICTION
BIASSHORT (50%)
GAP FILL87%
RANGE27,841–28,771
| DATE | BIAS | CONF | GAP FILL | RANGE ACCURACY | OVERALL | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | SHORT✗ | 50% | ✓ | 69% | 35 | ACTIVE |
| 2026-11-11 | LONG✓ | 40% | ✗ | 40% | 70 | CONFIRMED |
| 2026-11-10 | LONG✗ | 62% | ✓ | 50% | 25 | FAILED |
| 2026-11-09 | SHORT✗ | 40% | ✓ | 34% | 17 | FAILED |
| 2026-11-06 | SHORT✗ | 72% | ✓ | 58% | 29 | FAILED |
| 2026-11-05 | LONG✗ | 46% | ✓ | 17% | 9 | FAILED |
| 2026-11-04 | LONG✓ | 56% | ✓ | 55% | 78 | CONFIRMED |
| 2026-11-03 | LONG✓ | 30% | ✓ | 60% | 80 | CONFIRMED |
| 2026-11-02 | LONG✗ | 50% | ✓ | 78% | 39 | FAILED |
| 2026-10-30 | SHORT✓ | 56% | ✓ | 26% | 63 | CONFIRMED |
Rolling 30-session accuracy · Bias correct = close direction matches predictionTRADEIFY GRAND CUP
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