NQOpening Range Breakout
NQ Opening Range Breakout Stats
Analysis of NQ's first 30-minute opening range and subsequent breakout behavior.
Regime Filter
VOLATILITY
MACRO EVENT
TREND
GAP SIZE
SESSION TYPE
Probability
62%
Sample Size
50d
Best Streak
6W
Worst Streak
4L
Avg Gain
+157
Avg Loss
-217
Historical Probability
MOD62%
Long ORB setups perform best when price opens above VWAP and premarket trend is bullish. Short ORB setups show edge when VIX is elevated and there is a large up gap.
Recent Results
NQ Opening Range Breakout · Point Outcome by Day
Recent Setups
| Date | Setup | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | ORB SHORT 330pt range | Succeeded | +990 |
| 2026-06-04 | ORB SHORT 177pt range | Succeeded | +37 |
| 2026-06-03 | ORB NONE 312pt range | No Break | +0 |
| 2026-06-02 | ORB LONG 181pt range | Succeeded | +159 |
| 2026-06-01 | ORB SHORT 161pt range | Succeeded | +15 |
| 2026-05-29 | ORB LONG 156pt range | Succeeded | +15 |
| 2026-05-28 | ORB LONG 192pt range | Succeeded | +233 |
| 2026-05-27 | ORB SHORT 255pt range | Succeeded | +60 |
| 2026-05-26 | ORB LONG 180pt range | Succeeded | +112 |
| 2026-05-22 | ORB SHORT 164pt range | Succeeded | +115 |
| 2026-05-21 | ORB LONG 141pt range | Succeeded | +239 |
| 2026-05-20 | ORB SHORT 172pt range | Succeeded | +226 |
| 2026-05-19 | ORB SHORT 218pt range | Succeeded | +187 |
| 2026-05-18 | ORB SHORT 221pt range | Succeeded | +320 |
| 2026-05-15 | ORB LONG 201pt range | Succeeded | +443 |
| 2026-05-14 | ORB LONG 226pt range | Succeeded | +97 |
| 2026-05-13 | ORB LONG 214pt range | Succeeded | +277 |
| 2026-05-12 | ORB SHORT 186pt range | Succeeded | +368 |
| 2026-05-11 | ORB SHORT 153pt range | Succeeded | +56 |
| 2026-05-08 | ORB LONG 252pt range | Succeeded | +276 |
See today's full NQ odds
Bias, gap fill, ORB odds, expected range — structured before 09:30.