NQOpening Range Breakout
NQ Opening Range Breakout Stats
Analysis of NQ's first 30-minute opening range and subsequent breakout behavior.
Regime Filter
VOLATILITY
MACRO EVENT
TREND
GAP SIZE
SESSION TYPE
Probability
62%
Sample Size
64d
Best Streak
5W
Worst Streak
5L
Avg Gain
+164
Avg Loss
-211
Historical Probability
MOD62%
Long ORB setups perform best when price opens above VWAP and premarket trend is bullish. Short ORB setups show edge when VIX is elevated and there is a large up gap.
Recent Results
NQ Opening Range Breakout · Point Outcome by Day
Recent Setups
| Date | Setup | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | ORB LONG 354pt range | Succeeded | +253 |
| 2026-11-11 | ORB LONG 227pt range | Succeeded | +271 |
| 2026-11-10 | ORB LONG 380pt range | Succeeded | +92 |
| 2026-11-09 | ORB LONG 481pt range | Succeeded | +332 |
| 2026-11-06 | ORB SHORT 387pt range | Succeeded | +671 |
| 2026-11-05 | ORB SHORT 771pt range | Succeeded | +888 |
| 2026-11-04 | ORB LONG 464pt range | Succeeded | +101 |
| 2026-11-03 | ORB LONG 170pt range | Succeeded | +64 |
| 2026-11-02 | ORB LONG 111pt range | Succeeded | +142 |
| 2026-10-30 | ORB SHORT 192pt range | Succeeded | +436 |
| 2026-10-29 | ORB LONG 226pt range | Succeeded | +164 |
| 2026-10-28 | ORB LONG 186pt range | Succeeded | +225 |
| 2026-10-27 | ORB SHORT 164pt range | Succeeded | +236 |
| 2026-10-26 | ORB LONG 169pt range | Succeeded | +238 |
| 2026-10-23 | ORB LONG 189pt range | Succeeded | +151 |
| 2026-10-22 | ORB LONG 134pt range | Succeeded | +423 |
| 2026-10-21 | ORB LONG 147pt range | Succeeded | +196 |
| 2026-10-20 | ORB LONG 242pt range | Succeeded | +270 |
| 2026-10-19 | ORB LONG 124pt range | Succeeded | +177 |
| 2026-10-16 | ORB SHORT 244pt range | Succeeded | +534 |
See today's full NQ odds
Bias, gap fill, ORB odds, expected range — structured before 09:30.