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NQ gaps fill 68% of the time.

Based on 485 sessions of historical data. If you're fading every gap at open — the odds are on your side. Not every gap. Not every day. But the edge is real.

Full NQ gap fill analysis → edgetape.com/nq/gap-fill

NQ gaps fill most on Tues — 95% fill rate.

Day-of-week matters more than most traders think. Tue gaps fill 95% historically. That's not random. That's an edge.

NQ gap fill by day → edgetape.com/nq/gap-fill

NQ breaks to the upside 0.73% of sessions.

When it breaks long, it follows through 0.63% of the time. Average extension beyond OR high: 1.8pts. The opening range is not a setup. It's a filter.

NQ opening range stats → edgetape.com/nq/opening-range

NQ gaps fill 20% lower on CPI days.

CPI releases change everything. NQ gap fill drops to 48% on CPI days vs 68% baseline. Volatility spikes. Edges shift. Plan accordingly.

NQ CPI day analysis → edgetape.com/nq/cpi-days

FOMC days produce reversals 0.37% of the time in NQ.

Fed days are the great equalizer. The opening breakout is a trap 0.37% of the time. Wait for the volatility flush. Then trade the reaction, not the news.

NQ FOMC analysis → edgetape.com/nq/fomc-days

Under low VIX, NQ gap fill probability rises to 74%.

When fear is low, gaps fill. VIX below 20 → NQ gap fill at 74%. VIX regime is the first filter every morning.

NQ low-VIX analysis → edgetape.com/nq/low-vix

NQ inside days break out 0.58% of the time.

Compression leads to expansion. When NQ prints an inside day, a range break follows 0.58% of the time. The coil is visible on the chart. The direction isn't.

NQ inside days → edgetape.com/nq/inside-days

After a NQ trend day, continuation occurs 0.63% of the time.

Trend days carry momentum. The session after a NQ trend day continues 0.63% of the time — and rotates the rest. Bias the morning in the direction of yesterday's close.

NQ day-after-trend analysis → edgetape.com/nq/day-after-trend-day